BONDS: Light Pressure Alongside TTF Rally
Jan-29 15:59
Light pressure for bonds with some pointing to the continued uptick in European natural gas prices as the driver. Little else out there from an explanatory perspective.
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US DATA: Pending Home Sales Pick Up, Broader Activity Remains Muted
Dec-30 15:55
Pending home sales picked up to a 21-month high in November, with the NAR's index printing 79.0. That is an NSA increase of 5.6%, and points to a continued pickup in existing home sales in the next couple of months.
- The 2.2% increase was driven almost entirely by a jump in pending sales in the South region (+5.2% M/M to 94.5), with sales in the northeast contracting (level = 67.8) and Midwest/West up only slightly.
- The worst may be over for pending sales. But as the overall index level suggests (the reading is indexed to the level in 2001=100), however, pending sales remain weak on a historical basis despite a recent uptick.
- High mortgage rates are impacting both new and existing home sales activities, but there remains greater stagnation on the existing side as current homeowners are finding the opportunity cost of moving too high. We see little reason to expect a trend change until and unless either unemployment picks up or rates fall substantially.
US STOCKS: Paring Gains Post-Dallas Fed MFG Expansion
Dec-30 15:43
- Treasury futures are scaling off recent session highs after the latest Dallas Fed mfg index data expands faster than expected.
- Tsy Mar'25 10Y futures trade 108-29 last (+15) vs. 109-00.5 high. Little change in mixed curves: 2s10s -.453 at 28.839, 5s30s +2.680 at 38.087.
- Stocks, on the other hand, pare losses: SPX Eminis 5939.0 last vs. 5918.25 low, still weighed by Consumer Discretionary, Materials and Industrials sector shares.
OPTIONS: Expiries for Dec31 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)
Dec-30 15:41
EUR/USD: $1.0525(E525mln)
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Larger FX Option Pipeline
EUR/USD: Jan02 $1.0400(E1.5bln), $1.0500(E1.2bln)
USD/JPY: Jan02 Y154.30($2.1bln)
AUD/USD: Jan02 $0.6400-20(A$1.1bln)
USD/CAD: Jan02 C$1.3905($1.2bln); Jan03 C$1.4220($1.5bln)
USD/CNY: Jan02 Cny7.0800($1.7bln)
