USDCAD TECHS: MA Studies Highlight Dominant Uptrend

Mar-13 08:01
  • RES 4: 1.4793 High Feb 3 and key resistance
  • RES 3: 1.4700 Round number resistance 
  • RES 2: 1.4641 76.4% retracement of the Feb 3 - 14 bear leg 
  • RES 1: 1.4543 High Mar 4 and a bull trigger  
  • PRICE: 1.4395 @ 08:00 GMT Mar 13 
  • SUP 1: 1.4242 Low Mar 6  
  • SUP 2: 1.4151/4107 Low Feb 14 / 50.0% of Sep 25 - Feb 3 bull run
  • SUP 3: 1.4011 Low Dec 5 ‘24
  • SUP 4: 1.3944 61.8% retracement of the Sep 25 ‘24 - Feb 3 bull cycle

The bull cycle in USDCAD that started Feb 14 remains in play, and moving average studies reinforce this condition - they remain in a bull-mode position. The pair has recovered from its Mar 6 low and a continuation higher would signal scope for a test of the S/T bull trigger at 1.4543, the Mar 4 high. On the downside, support to watch lies at 1.4242, the Mar 6 low. A break of this level would instead expose key short-term support at 1.4151, the Feb 14 low.

Historical bullets

GILTS: Opening calls

Feb-11 07:57

Gilt calls, 93.22/93.31.

EQUITIES: EU Cash opening calls

Feb-11 07:54

Estox 50: +0.16%, Dax: +0.11%, CAC: -0.06%, FTSE +0.17%, SMI +0.32%.

BONDS: Bund is testing Yesterday's low

Feb-11 07:53
  • The German Bund is testing 133.21, this was Yesterday's low, but not seen any standout size flows and the push lower.
  • The contract printed a 132.95 low post NFP, the next downside hurdle to watch, ahead of the 132.72 support.
  • US TYH5 look to test 109.01, the US NFP low, and looking at the 10yr Yield, 4.55% would be situated 108.26+ today, although the better Yield resistance will be seen at 4.60%.