EU CONSUMER CYCLICALS: Metro AG; Daniel Krentisky makes offer to take co private

Feb-05 18:00

(MEOGR 29s; NR/BBB- Neg now) 

Bad news for the 29s continues, trades well tight on retail denominations;

  • Daniel K held just under 50% but wants to bid for the rest of it. It has triggered a delisting. His offer is at €5.33/share, a 36% premium to last trade. Two majors shareholders have said they will not partake in the tender and instead hold onto their stake (which totals 25%). Looks like that won't stop the delisting process and note reporting quality is likely to fall "the delisting from the regulated market will also terminate some of the comprehensive financial reporting obligations and capital market publication requirements of METRO."

Offer by Daniel K; https://newsroom.metroag.de/en/news/metro-and-epgc-sign-agreement-on-delisting-of-metro-ag?dt=20250205 

  • Sales for 1Q (3m to Dec) grew LFL +7% and net of -1.5% FX headwind +5.6%
  • That did not translate to margins; reported EBIT down -15%, margin contracting 50bps to 2.3%
  • Cash flows even weaker; operating -€14m (vs. +€286m last year), FCF -€324m
    • It looks like some of this is due to extension in payment terms in Russia...
  • Outlook unch for FY (ending Sept); sales growth of +3-7% and slight increase in adj. EBITDA from last years €1.1b.

Historical bullets

US: Joint Session Of Congress To Certify Presidential Election Underway Shortly

Jan-06 17:58

Vice President Kamala Harris is shortly due to gavel in a joint session of Congress to count Electoral College votes affirming President-elect Donald Trump’s presidential election victory. The count is expected to take around an hour. LIVESTREAM 

  • Today’s proceedings are expected to go smoothly with heightened security at the US Capitol following the unrest on January 6, 2021. Politico notes: “Our colleagues on the Hill team made the rounds to the Democrats who have symbolically protested the election results in the past; none of them plan on doing anything this time around.”
  • US President-elect Donald Trump said in a short statement on social media this morning: "CONGRESS CERTIFIES OUR GREAT ELECTION VICTORY TODAY — A BIG MOMENT IN HISTORY. MAGA!"

OPTIONS: Notable Upside And Vol Buying To Start The Week

Jan-06 17:52

Monday's Europe rates/bond options flow included:

  • OEG5 118.5/119.25/119.75/122.00c condor vs 117.5/116.25ps VS OEH4 118/118.5cs vs 117.00p. Bought the March cs for 5 and 6 in 13k. (selling out Feb into March)
  • OEH5 118/119cs 1x2, bought for 8 in 1.5k.
  • RXG5 124p, bought for 1.5 in 2.5k.
  • ERJ5 98.00^, bought for 57.75 in 4k.
  • ERZ5 98.12/98.50cs vs ERZ5 97.50p, bought the cs for -1 (receive) in 5k.
  • ERZ5 98.25c, bought for 16.75 in 10k
  • SFIZ5 95.30/94.80ps, sold at 8.5 in 4k.
  • 2NH5 95.30/94.80ps, bought for 1.5 in 5k.

US TSYS/SUPPLY: WI 3Y

Jan-06 17:50

WI holding steady at 4.321% ahead of the $58B 3Y note auction (91282CMF5) cut-off at 1300ET, compares to last month's 4.117% high yield vs. 4.115% WI.