------------------------------------------------------- MNI EM Credit Market Wrap - CEEMEA (23 ...
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The trend condition in S&P E-Minis is bearish and the latest recovery appears corrective. MA studies are unchanged - they remain in a bear-mode set-up, highlighting a dominant downtrend. However, today’s gains have resulted in a breach of the 20-day EMA, at 5801.77. This signals scope for a continuation higher near-term - towards 5864.25, the Jan 13 low. A reversal lower would refocus attention on 5559.75, the Mar 13 low and bear trigger.
EURGBP remains in a retracement mode. The cross has recently breached 0.8369, the Mar 14 low, and attention is on the 50-day EMA, at 0.8351. The average marks a key short-term pivot level. It has been pierced, a clear break would undermine the recent bull theme and signal scope for a deeper pullback, towards 0.8321, a Fibonacci retracement. Key resistance and the bull trigger is 0.8450, the Mar 11 high.