EM LATAM CREDIT: New Issue: Banco De Credito del Peru SA (BCP; Baa3 /BBB- /BBB)

Apr-23 13:23

“NEW $ DEAL: BANCO DE CREDITO DEL PERU BMARK 10YNC5 SUB, HIGH 6%” – BBG

IPTs: High 6%
FV: 6.25% Area

• Peru’s largest bank BCP and a subsidiary of holding company Credicorp proposed issuing a USD benchmark size Tier 2 subordinated 10.25NC5 with an expected rating of Baa2/BB+.

• Limited supply out of Peru in general and the strong fundamentals of BCP should generate good demand and shouldn’t require much new issue concession.

• BCP 10NC5 year subordinated debt (Baa3/BB+/-) issued Sept. 2024 at T+224 bps, now quoted T+216bps or 6.15%, has trended tighter since issuance but 20 bps wider MTD.
• Banco Internacional del Peru (BINTPE; Baa1neg/BBB-/BBB), subordinated debt ratings: (BINTPE; Baa3/BB+/BB+) issued a similarly structured tier 2 issue in late January 2025 at T+207bps, last quoted T+205bps or a yield of 6.01%.

• S&P rated the proposed notes two days ago. The proposed notes are not considered loss-absorbing and won’t get much equity treatment as there is no contingent capital clause requiring a conversion or write down in the case of a severe credit event nor are principal and interest payments deferrable, according to the rating agency.

• BCP 4Q2024 earnings were supportive with a reported ROE of 20.1%.

Historical bullets

US TSY OPTIONS: May'25/Jun'25 10YCall Spread

Mar-24 13:21
  • 18,500 TYK5 112/TYM5 112.5 call spds, 10 net db/June over vs. 110-31.5/0.05%

GLOBAL POLITICAL RISK: Week Ahead 24-30 March

Mar-24 13:16

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MNI's Political Risk team has published its Week Ahead article looking at the major political events taking place over the next seven days. Includes info on the US-Russia talks on a possible Ukraine ceasefire, efforts from Republican leadership in the US Congress to reach a budget deal, and Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves presenting her Spring Statement amid shrinking fiscal headroom for the UK gov't. 

EGBS: Goldman Point To Lower Yields In Immediate Term

Mar-24 13:13

Goldman Sachs note that while any U.S. tariff growth-negative impact is “likely to be felt ahead of the growth-supportive impact of fiscal spending. So continue to forecast 10-Year Bund yields at 3% by end-25, but think risks to European core yields are skewed to the downside in coming weeks”.