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A strong bearish theme in Gilt futures remains in play and Monday’s gains are considered corrective - for now. The recent breach of 91.87, the Dec 19 low, confirms a resumption of the downtrend. Sights are on 91.58 next, a 4.382 projection of the Dec 3 - 4 - 5 minor price swing. Initial firm resistance is at 93.09, the Dec 20 high. Resistance at the 20-day EMA, is at 93.45, and the average is seen as an important hurdle for bulls.
EURJPY has pulled back from Monday’s high, but a bullish short-term condition remains intact for now. Initial firm support lies at 162.31, the 20-day EMA. The cross has recently breached all the relevant Fibonacci retracement points of the bear leg between Oct 31 - Dec 3. A resumption of gains would open 165.04, the Nov 15 high. Clearance of this hurdle would open 166.69, the Oct 31 high and the next major resistance.
A corrective cycle in BTP futures has resulted in a pullback from its recent highs and last Friday’s sell-off highlights and extension of the current bear cycle. The contract has recently breached the 20-day EMA and sights are on 118.80, a Fibonacci retracement point. Key resistance and the bull trigger has been defined at 123.34, the Dec 11 high. Initial firm resistance is seen at 121.03, the 20-day EMA.