EURJPY TECHS: Pivot Support Lies At The 50-Day EMA

Mar-20 07:08

* RES 4: 165.43 High Nov 8 * RES 3: 164.90 High Dec 30 '24 and a key medium-term resistance * RES 2:...

Historical bullets

UK DATA: First glance a mixed data set, tilting towards better than expected

Feb-18 07:06
  • Private regular AWE a touch lower than expected, whole economy regular AWE broadly in line, whole economy inc bonus marginally higher than exp.
  • PAYE payrolls revised significantly (again). +20.7k in Jan and -13.9k in Dec (rather than -47k in Dec)
  • LFS unemployment rate at 4.4% (rounded). BOE looked for 4.45%, consensus 4.5% (rounded).
  • More to follow.

AUDUSD TECHS: Bulls Remain In The Driver’s Seat

Feb-18 07:03
  • RES 4: 0.6471 High Dec 9 ‘24 
  • RES 3: 0.6429 High Dec 12 ‘24               
  • RES 2: 0.6414 38.2% retracement of the Sep 30 ‘24 - Feb 3 bear leg 
  • RES 1: 0.6384 High Dec 13 
  • PRICE: 0.6360 @ 07:03 GMT Feb 18 
  • SUP 1: 0.6305/6231 50-day EMA / Low Feb 10 
  • SUP 3: 0.6171/6088 Low Feb 4 / 3
  • SUP 3: 0.6045 1.500 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
  • SUP 4: 0.6000 Round number support

AUDUSD is trading at its recent highs and a bull theme remains intact. The pair has cleared 0.6331, the Jan 24 high and a key short-term resistance. The breach highlights a stronger reversal and paves the way for gains towards 0.6414, a Fibonacci retracement. Note that moving average studies remain in a bear-mode position. This suggests the latest recovery is a correction. Initial firm support to watch is 0.6231, the Feb 10 low.

MNI: UK JAN CLAIMANT CHG +22000

Feb-18 07:00
  • MNI: UK JAN CLAIMANT CHG +22000
  • UK JAN CLAIMANT RATE +4.6%
  • UK DEC AVE WEEKLY EARNINGS +6% YY
  • UK DEC AVE WEEKLY EARNINGS EX-BONUS +5.9% YY