NORWAY: PM-Labour To Continue In Gov't Alone

Jan-30 14:39

PM Jonas Gahr Støre has confirmed that his centre-left Labour Party will continue in gov't alone following the withdrawal of the agrarian Centre Party (SP) from the governing coalition earlier today (see 'NORWAY: Centre Party To Leave Gov't Over EU Energy Directives-NRK', 1205GMT). State broadcaster NRK reports that Støre could end up being strengthened by the SP's withdrawal. 

  • There has been speculation of a challenge to Støre from within his party amid poor opinion polling support lately with Labour Minister Tonje Brenna seen as a potential challenger. However, there will now be several vacant ministerial offices the PM can fill to bolster his internal standing ahead of the September general election.
  • With just 48 lawmakers in the 169-member Storting (parliament), the gov't will need to work with opposition parties in order to pass legislation. This was already the case prior to the SP's withdrawal given that the coalition sat as a minority administration.
  • The collapse of the gov't came over the implementation of the EU's fourth energy package, which Norway as a member of the European Economic Area (EEA) is also subject to. The SP has argued against the directives of the energy package. It claims that demands for closer energy integration have left Norway vulnerable to price volatility in Europe, pushing up electricity prices domestically, as well as giving too much power to Brussels. 

Historical bullets

STIR FUTURES: BLOCK: Red Dec'25 SOFR

Dec-31 14:23
  • 4,000 SFRZ5 96.08 (+0.020), post-time bid going into the cross at 0918:29ET, appears to be a sale - though futures continue to rise, the contract trades 96.09 last (+0.030).

STIR FUTURES: BLOCK: Jun'25 SOFR 1Y Bundle

Dec-31 14:10

Total 6,000 SFRM5 1Y bundles (SFRM5-SFRH6) from 0857ET to 0903ET, 4,000 crossed +0.015, 2,000 +0.010. Most likely swap-tied selling with spds running wider in the short end.

US TSYS: Post House Price Data React

Dec-31 14:04
  • Treasury futures holding mildly higher levels - little to no reaction to in-line FHFA housing price & slightly higher than expected S&P CoreLogic data.
  • Futures had already pared overnight gains since the top of the hour, the Mar'25 10Y contract currently trades 108-31.5 (+.5), curves off earlier lows: 2s10s +1.041 at 29.924, 5s30s -.316 at 38.559.