EMISSIONS: Potential CBAM Talk During Von der Leyen’s India Visit

Feb-26 16:03

India may bring up CBAM discussion during Von der Leyen’s visit to New Delhi on 27-28 February, despite the topic not being in the agenda, according to The Hindu Business Line.

  • The visit follows Von der Leyen's announcement of a new strategic agenda with India to be presented this year at the EU-India Summit that may take place in Q4 2025.
  • The EU is India's largest trading partner and India’s CBAM burden would be equivalent to 0.05% of India's GDP, as 23% of India’s total iron and steel exports goes to the EU, according to Centre for Science and Environment and Carbon Trust.
  • “I think we know that the Indian side has maintained specific concerns on CBAM and on the effect that it may have. We are, of course, committed to addressing those concerns with parties around the world where they might be affected by CBAM,” an EU official said to The Hindu Business Line.

Historical bullets

OPTIONS: Expiries for Jan28 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)

Jan-27 15:38
  • EUR/USD: $1.0400(E1.0bln), $1.0460($697mln), $1.0500(E1.4bln), $1.0520-30(E929mln), $1.0550(E792mln)
  • AUD/USD: $0.6300-10(A$2.0bln)

US TSYS: Post-New Home Sales React

Jan-27 15:24
  • Treasury futures holding near recent session lows, little reaction to better than expected new home sales for December. Still bid, futures have scaled back overnight risk-off support on weaker stocks tied to China's DeepSeek AI startup.
  • Treasury Mar'25 10Y futures currently +16 at 108-31 vs. 109-12 high - just below initial technical resistance of 109-12.5 (50-day EMA).
  • Cross asset comparison, stocks are weaker but well off lows (SPX Eminis -103.0 at 6029.50), Gold weaker (-27.33 at 2743.23), US$ index off lows (BBDXY +.21 at 1295.37), volatility index gaining (VIX +3.61 at 18.46).
  • Focus remains on Wednesday's FOMC policy annc, as well as heavy corporate earning's docket this week. 

JPY: FX Exchange Option

Jan-27 15:22

FX Exchange traded option, looking for further Yen Strength.

  • JPYUSD (7th Mar) 67.5c, bought for 0.23 in 1.3k.

The underlying is at 65.175, spot is slightly lower at 0.006481.