US DATA: PPI Aggregates Further Boosted By Robust Revisions

Feb-13 14:17

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* The PCE-relevant components of PPI have clearly set the tone with the market's dovish reaction t...

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US TSY OPTIONS: Large Mar'25 10Y Call Buy

Jan-14 14:12
  • +50,000 TYH5 108.5 calls, 27 vs. 107-08.5/0.31%, total volume just over 57,000 - exceeding open interest of 31,317 coming into the session

GILTS: Still Under Pressure

Jan-14 14:09

Gilts edge away from recent session lows, although markets seem keen to continue to fade rallies at this stage, with Chancellor Reeves offering little new in the Commons today.

  • Reeves conceded that the UK is facing “economic headwinds”, while stressing the need to go further to kickstart growth and pledging to meet the fiscal rules at all times. A reminder that her future in the role is in doubt
  • Futures as low as 89.15, last 89.23.
  • Bearish technicals intact, initial support at cycle lows of 88.96.
  • Yields little changed to 2bp higher, curve bear steepens.
  • 10s & 30s within 3.5bp of cycle highs, located at 4.921% & 5.473%, respectively.
  • Tomorrow’s 10-Year gilt supply is eyed, although today’s 30-Year I/L supply saw decent enough demand.
  • CPI and comments from BoE dovish dissenter Taylor also due Wednesday.

FOREX: EURGBP Rally Extends, Focus Turns to UK CPI Release

Jan-14 14:06
  • Sterling weakness continuing to stand out in G10 currency markets, as EURGBP extends session gains to 0.5%, registering a fresh two-month high in recent trade ~0.8443, helped by the quick fade of GBPUSD strength following the soft US data release.
  • Price action for EURGBP narrows the gap to the next target of 0.8448, the Oct 31 high and a reversal trigger from a technical perspective. Further upside would signal scope for a move towards 0.8494, the August 26 high.
  • The next key input for the Pound will be UK CPI, released tomorrow at 07:00 GMT, with focus on the services Y/Y figure for which consensus stands at a slightly softer 4.8% (vs 5.0% November). Our full preview for the release will be published shortly.