OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - WTI Bounce Highlights A Potential Reversal
Feb-12 11:40
- On the commodity front, a bull cycle in Gold remains in play and the yellow metal is trading closer to its recent highs. The continued appreciation once again confirms a resumption of the uptrend and maintains the bullish price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Moving average studies are in a bull mode position too, highlighting a dominant uptrend. Sights are on the $2962.2, a 2.00 projection of the Nov 14 - Dec 12 - 19 price swing. The first key support to watch is $2779.3, the 20-day EMA.
- In the oil space, WTI futures have recovered from their recent lows. This highlights the fact that the 50-day EMA - at $72.21, despite being pierced, has provided firm support. Moving average studies remain in a bull mode condition highlighting a dominant uptrend. The latest recovery also signals a stronger reversal of the Jan 15 - Feb 6 bear leg. Sights are on $75.18, the Feb 3 high. Key short-term support and the bear trigger lies at $70.43, the Feb 6 low.
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OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Retracement In The EUROSTOXX50 Contract Extends
Jan-13 11:35
- In the equity space, a bear threat in the S&P E-Minis contract remains present and the contract is trading lower today. 5866.00, the Dec 20 low and a key short-term support, has been cleared. This strengthens a bearish theme and sights are on 5784.00, the Nov 4 low and an important short-term support. Initial pivot resistance is seen at 5996.50, the 50-day EMA.
- A bull cycle in the EUROSTOXX 50 futures contract remains intact and for now, the latest pullback appears corrective. Initial support to watch is 4935.71, the 50-day EMA. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would undermine a bullish theme and signal scope for a deeper retracement, towards 4829.00, the Dec 20 low and key short-term support. For bulls, resistance at 5040.00, Dec 9 high, has recently been pierced. A clear break of it would resume the bull cycle that started on Nov 21 and open 5068.13, the 0.764 projection of the Nov 21 - Dec 9 - 20 price swing.
EURIBOR OPTIONS: Mid Curve Upside structures
Jan-13 11:27
- 0RG5 97.875/98.00/98.12c fly, bought for 1.75 in 4k.
- 0RG5 98.00/98.125/98.25c ladder, bought for 1 in 6k.
US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (H5) Bearish Start To The Week
Jan-13 11:27
- RES 4: 111-20+ High 6 and the bull trigger
- RES 3: 110-25 High Dec 12
- RES 2: 109-28 50-day EMA
- RES 1: 108-26/109-06 20-day EMA / High Dec 31
- PRICE: 107-09 @ 11:08 GMT Jan 13
- SUP 1: 107-06 Intraday low
- SUP 2: 107-04 Low Apr 25 ‘24 and a key support
- SUP 3: 107-00 Round number support
- SUP 4: 106-11 2.00 proj of the Oct 1 - 14 - 16 price swing
The trend condition in Treasury futures is unchanged and remains bearish. Today’s bearish start to the week, has once again, confirmed a resumption of the downtrend. Sights are on 107-04 next, a Fibonacci projection. Note too that moving average studies remain in a bear-mode position highlighting a dominant downtrend. Key short-term resistance is seen at 108-26, the 20-day EMA.
