HUNGARY: Prime Minister Chairs Weekly Cabinet Meeting

Feb-05 10:40
  • Notable local news flow is few and far between this morning, with wider focus across CEE on the NBP rate decision later today.
  • There are also no data releases scheduled for today. Prime Minister Orban will chair a cabinet meeting.
  • Looking ahead to the rest of the week, industrial production (Est: -3.7% Y/Y; Prior: -2.9%) and retail sales (Est: +2.0% Y/Y; Prior: +4.1%) figures for December are due Thursday, while budget balance data for January is on the docket Friday.

Historical bullets

GERMAN T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 6-Month Bubill

Jan-06 10:40
Type6-month bubill
MaturityJul 16, 2025
AllottedE1.152bln
PreviousE1.55bln
Total soldE2bln
TargetE2bln
Avg yield2.475%
Previous2.667%
Bid-to-cover2.17x
Previous1.72x
Bid-to-offer1.25x
Previous1.34x
Previous dateNov 18, 2024

DUTCH T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 3/6-Month DTCs

Jan-06 10:39
Type3-month DTC6-month DTC
MaturityMar 28, 2025Jun 27, 2025
AmountE1.61blnE1.14bln
TargetE1.0-2.0blnE1.0-2.0bln
PreviousE1.05blnE1bln
Avg yield2.733%2.55%
Previous2.730%2.571%
Bid-to-cover1.47x1.27x
Previous2.67x2.12x
Previous dateDec 09, 2024Dec 09, 2024

Source: Bloomberg

BOBL TECHS: (H5) Southbound

Jan-06 10:38
  • RES 4: 118.640 Low Dec 6        
  • RES 3: 118.520 High Dec 13   
  • RES 2: 118.173 20-day EMA 
  • RES 1: 117.490/870 Low Dec 30 / High Jan 3                           
  • PRICE: 117.190 @ 10:21 GMT Jan 6  
  • SUP 1: 117.150 Intraday low              
  • SUP 2: 117.000 Round number support     
  • SUP 3: 116.700 Low Jul 26 2024 (cont)   
  • SUP 4: 116.471 76.4% of the Jun 10 - Oct 1 2024 price swing    

A bear cycle in Bobl futures remains in play and last week’s sell-off plus today’s extension, reinforces the bearish set-up. Price has recently traded through 117.723, the 76.4% retracement of the Nov 6 - Dec 2 bull cycle. Attention is on key support at 117.180, the Nov 6 low. It has been pierced, a clear break would strengthen the current downtrend. Initial resistance is at 117.870, Jan 3 high. Key short-term resistance is 118.173, the 20-day EMA.