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The S&P E-Minis contract initially traded lower Monday extending the pullback from last Friday’s high. Key short-term support to watch lies at 5961.75, the Jan 16 low (pierced). For now, the move down appears corrective, however, a clear breach of 5961.75 would strengthen a bearish threat and signal scope for a deeper retracement, towards 5943.94, a Fibonacci retracement. Key resistance is 6178.75, the Dec 6 high.
The DMO has announced that it will sell the 0.125% Jan-26 gilt (ISIN: GB00BL68HJ26) for GBP1.5bln via tender on Thursday. This is the gilt that we expected and in the middle of the GBP1.0-2.0bln size estimate that we pencilled in.
Despite yesterday’s pullback, Gold is trading closer to its recent highs. A bull cycle is in play and the breach of resistance at 2726.2, the Dec 12 high, reinforces current conditions. Sights are on $2790.1, the Oct 31 all-time high. A break of this hurdle would confirm a resumption of the primary uptrend. On the downside, the first key support to watch is $2671.6, the 50-day EMA. A reversal lower and a breach of this average would reinstate a bearish threat.