EURJPY traded sharply lower Tuesday as the JPY rallied - the cross remains bearish. A key support at 140.77, the Dec 2 low and a bear trigger, has been cleared. This marks a resumption of the bear cycle that started on Oct 21 and opens 138.06, the Sep 28 low and 137.40, the Sep 26 low and a key support. Initial firm resistance is seen at 143.50, the Dec 14 low and a recent breakout level. Short-term gains would likely be a correction.
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Short-term trend conditions in USDJPY remain bearish and Monday’s gais are considered corrective. The move higher is allowing a recent oversold trend condition to unwind. Resistance to watch is at 143.62, the 50-day EMA. A break of this EMA would signal scope for a stronger correction. On the downside, a break of 137.68, Nov 15 low, would resume the downtrend and open 137.37, the Aug 29 low.
BTP futures traded to a fresh short-term cycle high Monday. The outlook is bullish. The contract has breached 117.93, Oct 27 high plus a key resistance at 119.06, Sep 8 high, has been pierced. A clear break of 119.06 would pave the way for a continuation of the bull cycle and open the 120.00 handle. Initial firm support is seen at 116.05, the 20-day EMA. Key support lies at 112.45, the Nov 8 low. A break below the latter would reinstate a bearish theme.
Date | Time | Period | Event |
22-Nov | 0700 | Oct | Public Sector Finances |
23-Nov | 0930 | Nov | S&P Global Manufacturing / Services PMI (flash) |
23-Nov | 1900 | ---- | BOE Pill Speech at Beesley Lecture Series |
24-Nov | 0945 | ---- | BOE Ramsden Speech at BOE Watchers’ Conference |
24-Nov | 1030 | ---- | BOE Pill Panelist at BOE Watchers’ Conference |
24-Nov | 1345 | ---- | BOE Mann Panelist at BOE Watchers’ Conference |
28-Nov | 1530 | ---- | DMO Q1 Consultation Meetings |
29-Nov | 0930 | Nov | BOE Lending to Individuals / M4 |
30-Nov | 0001 | Nov | BRC Monthly Shop Price Index |
30-Nov | 0730 | ---- | DMO Publishes Q3 Issuance Calendar |
01-Dec | 0930 | Nov | S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI (final) |
05-Dec | 0930 | Nov | S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI (final) |
05-Dec | 1530 | ---- | DMO consultation meetings to discuss Q1 issuance |