GILTS: Resistance Intact In Futures
Feb-28 15:07
Gilts continue to track global cues, with initial resistance in futures (93.51) intact.
- Yields 1-4bp lower on the day, curve flatter.
- BoE-dated OIS still little changed to 1bp more dovish, last showing ~57bp of cuts through year-end.
- Final PMI data and the BoE DMP survey headline next week’s UK calendar.
- BoE-speak will come from Bailey, Pill, Mann, Greene & Taylor.
- We will provide greater detail on the UK points of interest in our Gilt Week Ahead document on Monday.
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EQUITIES: U.S. Indices Off Lows As DeepSeek AI Provides Low Accuracy Score
Jan-29 15:06
E-minis finding a bit of a base as RTRS reports that “Chinese AI startup DeepSeek's chatbot achieved only 17% accuracy in delivering news and information in a NewsGuard audit that ranked it tenth out of eleven in a comparison with its Western competitors.”
- NASDAQ 100 futures ~40 points off lows, but still ~45 points lower on the day.
US: Commerce Sec Nominee Lutnick's Senate Nomination Hearing Underway Shortly
Jan-29 15:01
US President Donald Trump's nominee to serve as Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, is shortly due to appear for a nomination hearing before the Senate Commerce Committee. LIVESTREAM
- Commerce chair, Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX), said in a statement Lutnick, "will play a key role in unleashing unprecedented innovation and ensuring our nation’s job creators are well equipped to expand opportunities for good-paying jobs.”
- Democrats reportedly intend to discredit Lutnick by questioning conflicts of interest that could undermine his trade portfolio and highlighting alleged connections to Tether, “the go-to cryptocurrency of the criminal world,” per Bloomberg.
- Markets will be looking for any clues on Trump's tariff agenda, particularly in light of recent comments from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hinting at a more restrained approach to tariffs.
- Lutnick is widely seen as one of the more hawkish members of Trump's trade team. He has suggested that tariffs could in part replace income tax and has aligned himself with trade counsellor Peter Navarro and USTR nominee Jamieson Greer - two of the most dogmatic proponents of tariffs in the administration.
- The WSJ reports: "Lutnick and deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller have been advocating for a tariff-first, talk-second approach when it comes to targeting Mexico and Canada as soon as this weekend with a 25% levy..."
- While Lutnick is expected to clear the confirmation process comfortably, Democrats may seek to delay the process as long as possible in response to recent Trump executive actions.
BONDS: BTP Block trade
Jan-29 14:59
BTP Block trade, suggest buyer:
IKH5 1k at 119.14.
