TURKEY: RTRS-Erdoğan's Party Split On Post-Election Economic Direction

May-24 14:06

Reuters is reporting that there are divisions within President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party (AKP) over the country's economic trajectory post-election (given the high probability that Erdoğan wins the 28 May run-off). Reuters reports that according to its sources, "...an informal group of ruling-party members have gathered in recent weeks to discuss how it might adopt a new policy of gradual interest rate hikes and a targeted lending programme.[...] On the other side are officials and cabinet members who publicly state they want to stick with the current programme of boosting exports and economic growth via rate cuts and heavily-managed forex, credit and debt markets."

  • Reuters: "They are studying a new economic model... since the existing model cannot be sustained," said a senior official close to the matter. "Basically, it would gradually raise the interest rate and end the structure of using multiple rates."
  • Reuters: "There are two different opinions within the party," another source, a ruling AK Party official, said. He added that any decision would seek to preserve economic stability through to the next critical election test: municipal polls in March next year. A third official said the strong election results could ultimately convince leaders "that a rapid change is not needed."
  • Reuters: "The informal group working on a new plan is not considering aggressive monetary tightening, but rather a more gradual path that again emphasises the policy rate in lending markets, four of the sources said. Another option is using a public institution and state subsidies to deliver selective credit, they added."

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EQUITIES: EU Bank Vol trade

Apr-24 14:06

SX7E (16th June) 108^, trades 8.30 in 8k

BOE: Detailed APF Sales Results

Apr-24 13:54
Short Gilts Bids received BOE sells WAAP Prev bids Prev sales
1.50% Jul-26 GBP303.7m GBP0.0m 0.000 GBP302.0m GBP75.3m
0.375% Oct-26 GBP665.5m GBP375.2m 88.741 GBP174.3m GBP88.8m
1.25% Jul-27 GBP646.4m GBP90.8m 90.506 GBP621.3m GBP137.4m
4.25% Dec-27 GBP0.0m GBP0.0m 0.000 GBP0.0m GBP0.0m
0.125% Jan-28 GBP21.2m GBP21.2m 84.601 GBP505.4m GBP316.9m
1.625% Oct-28 GBP265.6m GBP49.6m 90.091 GBP289.3m GBP151.6m
6.00% Dec-28 GBP34.2m GBP11.4m 111.666 GBP34.5m GBP0.0m
0.50% Jan-29 GBP166.8m GBP145.9m 83.280 N/A N/A
0.875% Oct-29 GBP165.1m GBP75.9m 84.295 GBP34.2m GBP0.0m
Total GBP2,268.5m GBP770.0m GBP1,961.0m GBP770.0m

BOE: APF SALES: GBP770mln of short-dated gilts with bid-to-cover of 2.95x

Apr-24 13:49

Previous bid-to-cover ratios: most recent first: 2.55x, 2.57x*, 2.28x*, 0.96x*.

* These operations had size of GBP650mln.