OIL: Saudi OSP Increases Exceed Bloomberg Survey

Feb-05 18:04

The Saudi increase in OSPs to Asia for March are a response to improving refinery margins and surging premiums of Middle East crude, Bloomberg said.

  • Aramco raised the price of its Arab Light oil to Asia for March by $2.40/b, according to a price list seen by Bloomberg, the largest increase since August 2022.
  • The gain is larger than the $2/b hike expected by traders and refiners surveyed by Bloomberg.
  • Tough US sanctions on Russian oil last month sent Asia’s refiners rushing to buy replacement cargoes.
  • The barrels that are closest in both geography and quality are pumped in the Middle East, leading to a surge in premiums for the region’s crude relative to other international benchmarks.
  • Refining margins have also improved in recent weeks, following some processors cutting back production, also helping to justify the large increase.

Historical bullets

FED: US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: HIGH YLD 4.332%; ALLOTMENT 84.31%

Jan-06 18:02
  • US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: HIGH YLD 4.332%; ALLOTMENT 84.31%
  • US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 19.36% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 19.67% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 60.98% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 3Y AUCTION: BID/CVR 2.62

US: Joint Session Of Congress To Certify Presidential Election Underway Shortly

Jan-06 17:58

Vice President Kamala Harris is shortly due to gavel in a joint session of Congress to count Electoral College votes affirming President-elect Donald Trump’s presidential election victory. The count is expected to take around an hour. LIVESTREAM 

  • Today’s proceedings are expected to go smoothly with heightened security at the US Capitol following the unrest on January 6, 2021. Politico notes: “Our colleagues on the Hill team made the rounds to the Democrats who have symbolically protested the election results in the past; none of them plan on doing anything this time around.”
  • US President-elect Donald Trump said in a short statement on social media this morning: "CONGRESS CERTIFIES OUR GREAT ELECTION VICTORY TODAY — A BIG MOMENT IN HISTORY. MAGA!"

OPTIONS: Notable Upside And Vol Buying To Start The Week

Jan-06 17:52

Monday's Europe rates/bond options flow included:

  • OEG5 118.5/119.25/119.75/122.00c condor vs 117.5/116.25ps VS OEH4 118/118.5cs vs 117.00p. Bought the March cs for 5 and 6 in 13k. (selling out Feb into March)
  • OEH5 118/119cs 1x2, bought for 8 in 1.5k.
  • RXG5 124p, bought for 1.5 in 2.5k.
  • ERJ5 98.00^, bought for 57.75 in 4k.
  • ERZ5 98.12/98.50cs vs ERZ5 97.50p, bought the cs for -1 (receive) in 5k.
  • ERZ5 98.25c, bought for 16.75 in 10k
  • SFIZ5 95.30/94.80ps, sold at 8.5 in 4k.
  • 2NH5 95.30/94.80ps, bought for 1.5 in 5k.