ENERGY: Shipping Firms Show Reluctance to Red Sea Passage

Jan-23 13:33

Updates from shipping firms show continued reluctance to return to Red Sea passage following Houthi communications this week that it would not attack non-Israel vessels, although early signs of increasing interest have emerged.

  • French container line CMA CGM confirmed yesterday that it will send a containership “CMA CGM COLUMBIA” through the Red Sea on an ad-hoc basis, with one passage scheduled today.
  • Meanwhile, Mitsui CEO explained at Davos that the company will not be re-opening the Suez route imminently, with a decision not expected for several weeks or even months.
  • MSC will be sending its vessels around Africa until further notice.
  • Tanker owner Torm is considering “when it may be relevant to resume transits through the southern part of the Red Sea,” according to a statement with Bloomberg.
  • Hafnia, Maersk and Torm are monitoring the situation, all citing safety concerns.
  • The Iran-backed Houthis promised to stop attacking ships in the Red Sea, except those flagged in Israel, following the Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal on Jan. 19
  • In a sign of de-escalation yesterday, Houthi rebels released the crew of the “GALAXY LEADER” RoRo vessel initially seized by the group in November 2023.
  • Meanwhile, the Trump administration’s re-designation of the Houthi rebel group as a ‘Foreign Terrorist Organization’ will impose harsher economic penalties on the group and could add to tensions.

Historical bullets

MNI: US DEC PHILADELPHIA FED NONMFG INDEX -6

Dec-24 13:30
  • MNI: US DEC PHILADELPHIA FED NONMFG INDEX -6

CROSS ASSET: US 10yr Yield targets the next resistance

Dec-24 13:18
  • With Tnotes testing another session low, focus turns to the 4.6357% level in Yield, this is around 108.09 vs 108.10 earlier.
  • Much Further out would see 4.7351%, the 2024 high, and highest level since November 2023.
  • This level would equate to ~107.19 Today.
  • There's no Impact in the Yen as of Yet.

(Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg):

USGG10YR Index (US Generic Govt  2024-12-24 13-14-21

 

STIR: Repo Reference Rates

Dec-24 13:03
  • Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 4.31% (+0.01), volume: $2.337T
  • Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 4.29% (+0.01), volume: $846B
  • Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 4.29% (+0.01), volume: $815B
  • (rate, volume levels reflect prior session)