EURGBP TECHS: Support Lies At The 50-Day EMA
- RES 4: 0.8545 High Aug 21
- RES 3: 0.8530 76.4% retracement of the Aug 8 - Dec 19 downleg
- RES 2: 0.8494 High Aug 26 ‘24
- RES 1: 0.8421/8474 High Jan 27 / 20 and the bull trigger
- PRICE: 0.8368 @ 16:21 GMT Jan 30
- SUP 1: 0.8360 Low Jan 30
- SUP 2: 0.8357 50-day EMA
- SUP 3: 0.8318 61.8% retracement of the Dec 19 - Jan 20 bull cycle
- SUP 4: 0.8284 Low Jan 8
EURGBP is trading at this week’s lows as an intraday spike higher swiftly faded. This keeps a corrective cycle in play. A bull cycle is intact and moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant short-term uptrend. The 20-day EMA has been breached and this exposes 0.8357, the 50-day EMA. A clear breach of this EMA would highlight a stronger reversal. The bull trigger is 0.8474, the Jan 20 high. Clearance of it would resume the uptrend.
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COMMODITIES: WTI Futures, Gold Holding Higher
WTI futures are trading higher today as the contract extends recent gains. A stronger reversal to the upside would refocus attention on key short-term resistance at $76.41, the Oct 8 high. Initial firm resistance is unchanged at $71.97. A bear threat in Gold remains present. The yellow metal traded sharply lower on Dec 18 and the move undermines a recent bull theme. A resumption of weakness would open key support at $2536.9, the Nov 14 low.
- WTI Crude up $0.9 or +1.27% at $71.88
- Natural Gas down $0.32 or -8.13% at $3.618
- Gold spot up $19.24 or +0.74% at $2625.86
- Copper down $6.95 or -1.7% at $402.3
- Silver down $0.1 or -0.34% at $28.8383
- Platinum up $3.96 or +0.44% at $908.02
US STOCKS: Late Equity Roundup: Tech & Interactive Media Sectors Underperforming
- Stocks are trading near session lows after reversing early session gains. Though off this year's record highs (SPX Eminis 6178.75, DJIA 45,073.63, Nasdaq 20,204.58) major averages will finish the year with double digit gains: SPX Eminis +19.5%, DJIA +13.1%, while the Nasdaq gained 29.9%!
- Currently, the DJIA trades down 92.19 points (-0.22%) at 42474.46, S&P E-Minis down 28 points (-0.47%) at 5929.75, Nasdaq down 147 points (-0.8%) at 19337.13.
- Information Technology and Communication Services shares underperformed continued to underperform late Tuesday, shares of software and semiconductor makers weighing on the tech sector: Nvidia -1.61%, Advanced Micro Devices -1.36%, Crowdstrike Holdings -1.28%.
- Interactive media and entertainment shares weighed on the Communication Services sector: Alphabet -0.9%, Live Nation -0.76%, Netflix -0.60%, Meta -0.41%.
- On the positive side, Energy and Materials sectors outperformed in the second half, oil & gas stocks buoyed the Energy sector as crude prices continued to rise (WTI +1.0 at 71.99): APA Corp +3.59%, Marathon Petroleum +2.46%, Occidental Petroleum +2.15%.
- Meanwhile, shares of chemical & fertilizer makers supported the Materials sector: Mosaic +2.44%, Celanese +1.42%, Dow +1.37%.
- Looking ahead, the next round of quarterly earnings kicks off mid-January with Blackrock, Bank of NY Melon, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, US Bancorp, M&T Bank and PNC all reporting between January 13-16.
STIR: FED Reverse Repo Year-End Operation Usage Jumps to Late June Level
RRP usage surged to the highest level since June 28 into year end: $473.460B this afternoon from $260.743B Monday. Compares to $98.356B on Friday, December 20 - the lowest level since mid-April 2021. The number of counterparties jumped to 80 from 57 prior.
