AUDUSD TECHS: Support Remains Intact
- RES 4: 0.6429 High Dec 12 ‘24
- RES 3: 0.6414 38.2% retracement of the Sep 30 ‘24 - Feb 3 bear leg
- RES 2: 0.6409 High Feb 21 and a bull trigger
- RES 1: 0.6331/91 High Mar 26 / High Mar 17 and 18
- PRICE: 0.6300 @ 17:06 BST Apr 2
- SUP 1: 0.6219 Low Mar 31
- SUP 2: 0.6187 Low Feb 4
- SUP 3: 0.6171/6088 Low Feb 4 / 3 and a key support
- SUP 4: 0.6045 1.500 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
AUDUSD has recovered from Monday’s 0.6219 low. This affirms the view that recent weakness is likely corrective, with prices still clear of Feb 4 support at 0.6187. A move through 0.6187 is required to reinstate a bear threat. On the upside, a stronger recovery would refocus attention on 0.6409, the Feb 21 high and a key resistance. Clearance of this hurdle would strengthen the bull cycle and resume the uptrend that started Feb 3.
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US: "Large Share Of Americans" Support Increased Funding For Govt Services
A new YouGov survey has found that, “large shares of Americans favor increasing funding for dozens of government services; very few support cuts.” The survey asked about “spending in 40 areas, and in none of these areas did a majority of Americans support a reduction in spending.”
- YouGov notes: “More than 70% of Americans think federal funding should be increased, either a lot or a little, for each of a half dozen areas: elderly care, veterans services, cybersecurity, health care services, disaster relief, and mental health care services. Majorities also want more funding directed to homelessness services, food assistance, infrastructure, disability assistance, border security, early childhood education, and K-12 education, along with several others.
- “Foreign aid is the only instance in which a share approaching a majority (49%) supports a reduction in federal funding. Around one-third (35%) want to reduce funding for artificial intelligence.”
- The survey comes after Elon Musk reissued his instruction to federal government workers to justify their work or face dismissal, an email that threated to drive a wedge between Musk’s DOGE and some Cabinet officials who advised workers to disregard the email.
Figure 1: Support for Public Service
PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: Over $28.3B Issuance Expected to Price Monday
- Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
- 03/03 $10B #Synopsys $1B 2Y +60, $1B 3Y +70, $2B 5Y +85, $1.5B 7Y +95, $2.4B 10Y +100, $2.1B 30Y +125 (Largest since Bank of America issued $10B over 5tranches on January 17).
- 03/03 $2.5B #Sumitomo Mitsui $500M 3Y +60, $500M 5Y +75, $1B 5Y SOFR+99, $500M 10Y +90
- 03/03 $2.1B #Duke Energy $00M 2Y +40, $850M 10Y +90, $750M 30Y +110
- 03/03 $2.05B #AM Honda $650M 3Y +65, $400M 3Y SOFR+82, $500M 5Y +85, $500M 10Y +105
- 03/03 $2B #MPLX $1B 10Y +130, $1B 30Y +160
- 03/03 $1.5B #PayPal $450M 3Y +50, $450M 3Y SOFR+67, $600M 10Y +92
- 03/03 $1.25B #Virginia Electric $625M 10Y +100, $625M 30Y +120
- 03/03 $1.25B #Humana $750M 10Y +138, $00M 30Y +160
- 03/03 $1B #Columbia Pipelines $550M 10Y +125, $450M 30Y +148
- 03/03 $1B #Nucor $500M 5Y +70, $500M 10Y +95
- 03/03 $800M #Synchrony Financial 6NC5 +145
- 03/03 $750M #CME Group 5Y +50
- 03/03 $600M #Tampa Electric 10Y +100
- 03/03 $500M *John Deere Capital 3Y SOFR+50
- 03/03 $1B Alumina PtyLtd 5NC2, 7.5NC3
MACRO ANALYSIS: MNI Eurozone Inflation Insight: Services Y/Y Eases Before ECB
We have published and e-mailed to subscribers the MNI Eurozone Inflation Insight.
Please find the full report here: https://media.marketnews.com/Feb2025_EZCPI_Review_0495e7208a.pdf
