BUNDS: /SWAPS: No Bounce For Long End ASWs Ahead Of Fiscal Debate

Mar-13 09:13

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German ASW spreads little changed on the day. * Bund vs. 3-month Euribor ASW on track for a fresh c...

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DUTCH AUCTION RESULTS: 2.75% Jan-47 DSL

Feb-11 09:09
 2.75% Jan-47 DSL*Previous
ISINNL0010721999NL0015614579
AmountE1.995blnE1.96bln
Avg yield2.773%2.581%
Avg Price99.6249.82
Pre-auction mid99.52149.732
Previous date 10-Sep-24

EGB SYNDICATION: Italy 15-year BTP: Spread set

Feb-11 09:08
  • Spread set: 4.15% Oct-39 BTP +7bps (guidance was +9bps area)
  • Size: EUR benchmark (MNI expects E8-10bln)
  • Books in excess of E83bln (inc JLM interest)
  • Maturity: 1 October 2040
  • ISIN: TBC
  • Settlement: 18 February, 2025 (T+5)
  • Bookrunners: Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Intesa Sanpaolo, Morgan Stanley and Nomura
  • Timing: Books open, pricing later today

From market source / Bloomberg

STIR: Modest Hawkish Reaction To Mann, 62bp Of BoE Cuts Priced Through Year-End

Feb-11 09:03

Modest hawkish reaction to comments from BoE hawk-turned-dove Mann, as she refers to the Bank’s MaPS survey when it comes to neutral rates (3.00-3.50% currently estimated), as opposed to the BOE's updated model-based estimates for equilibrium (2.25-3.75% estimate).

  • Mann’s activist approach is underscored here, as she notes that she expects “Bank Rate will average well above the nominal equilibrium.”
  • She also reaffirms the need for continued restrictiveness despite her preference for a 50bp cut last week.
  • ~62bp of cuts now priced through year-end vs. 64bp earlier today.
  • SONIA futures flat to -3.0, a little below pre-gilt open levels.

BoE Meeting

SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)

Difference vs. Cut-Adjusted SONIA Rate (bp)

Mar-25

4.400

-5.4

May-25

4.199

-25.5

Jun-25

4.120

-33.4

Aug-25

3.972

-48.3

Sep-25

3.930

-52.4

Nov-25

3.856

-59.9

Dec-25

3.834

-62.0