BUNDS: Tariffs drive the Risk Off Tone

Apr-16 06:27

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* The German Bund saw a small gap higher on the open but didn't quite managed to break Yesterday's...

Historical bullets

EURUSD TECHS: Bullish Theme Intact

Mar-17 06:23
  • RES 4: 1.1083 High Oct 2 2024  
  • RES 3: 1.1040 High Oct 4 2024
  • RES 2: 1.0961 76.4% retracement of the Sep 25 ‘24 - Feb 3 bear leg
  • RES 1: 1.0947 High Mar 11  
  • PRICE: 1.0879 @ 16:26 GMT Mar 14
  • SUP 1: 1.0766/1.0674 Low Mar 6 / 20-day EMA   
  • SUP 2: 1.0557 50-day EMA and a short-term pivot level      
  • SUP 3: 1.0471 Low Mar 4     
  • SUP 4: 1.0360 Low Feb 28 and a key support  

Trend conditions in EURUSD remain bearish and the pair is holding on to its recent gains. Moving average studies remain in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. Bulls have their sights on 1.0961 next, a Fibonacci retracement. A break of this level would strengthen the current uptrend. Initial key support to watch lies at 1.0557, the 50-day EMA. The uptrend is overbought, a pullback would allow this set-up to unwind.

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Mar-17 06:23
DateUKPeriodEvent
18-Mar0930 Consumer Price inflation weight update
19-Mar0001FebBrightmine pay deals for whole economy
20-Mar0700Jan/FebLabour Market Survey
20-Mar1100MarCBI Industrial Trends
20-Mar1200 Bank Of England Interest Rate
20-Mar1200 Agents summary of business conditions
21-Mar0001MarGfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
21-Mar0700FebPublic Sector Finances
24-Mar0930MarS&P Global Flash PMI
24-Mar1800 BOE's Bailey lecture on UK growth
25-Mar1100MarCBI Distributive Trades
26-Mar0700FebConsumer inflation report
26-Mar0700FebProducer Prices
26-Mar- OBR Spring Forecasts
26-Mar1530 DMO agenda for quarterly consultation
27-Mar0830 BOE's Dhingra on inflation targeting in the UK post-pandemic 

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Mar-17 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
17-Mar900ITItaly Final HICP
17-Mar1400EUECB's Lagarde at University Aix-Marselle
18-Mar1000EUTrade Balance
18-Mar1000DEZEW Current Expectations Index
19-Mar1000EUHICP (f)
19-Mar1200EUECB de Guindos In Madrid
19-Mar1300EUECB Elderson At European Financials Conference
20-Mar700DEPPI
20-Mar800EUECB's Lagarde At ECON Hearing
20-Mar1000EUConstruction Production
20-Mar1200EUECB's Lane At UCC Economics Society's Conference
21-Mar745FRManufacturing Sentiment
21-Mar900EUEZ Current Account
21-Mar1500EUConsumer Confidence Indicator (p)
24-Mar815FRS&P Global Flash PMI
24-Mar830DES&P Global Flash PMI
24-Mar900EUS&P Global Flash PMI