SILVER TECHS: Trading At Its Recent Highs

Dec-12 08:12
  • RES 4: $35.226 - 61.8% of the 2011 - 2020 major bear leg  
  • RES 3: $35.167 - 2.00 proj of the Aug 8 - 26 - Sep 6 price swing 
  • RES 2: $33.125/34.903 - High Nov 1 / High Oct 23 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: $32.283 - High Dec 9                            
  • PRICE: $32.124 @ 08:11 GMT Dec 12  
  • SUP 1: $29.642 - Low Nov 28       
  • SUP 2: $28.446 - 76.4% retracement of the Aug 8 - Oct 23 bull cycle 
  • SUP 3: $27.686 - Low Sep 6 
  • SUP 4: $26.451 - Low Aug 8  

Silver continues to trade closer to its recent highs. Despite a recovery in price, the bear cycle that started Oct 23 remains in play and gains are considered corrective - for now. Price has recently traded through a trendline drawn from the Aug 8 low. A resumption of the bear leg would open $28.446, a Fibonacci retracement. The 50-day EMA, at  $31.209, has been pierced. A continuation higher would expose $33.125, the Nov 1 high.

Historical bullets

AUDUSD TECHS: Bearish Structure

Nov-12 08:04
  • RES 4: 0.6841 76.4% retracement of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 bear leg    
  • RES 3: 0.6762 High Oct 9            
  • RES 2: 0.6727 50.0% retracement of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 bear leg  
  • RES 1: 0.6676/88 50-day EMA / High Nov 7
  • PRICE: 0.6550 @ 08:04 GMT Nov 12
  • SUP 1: 0.6513 Low Nov 6 and the bear trigger 
  • SUP 2: 0.6508 Low Aug 8
  • SUP 3: 0.6490 76.4% retracement of the Aug 5 - Sep 30 bull leg
  • SUP 4: 0.6472 Low Aug 6 

A bear cycle in AUDUSD remains intact and recent gains appear to have been a correction. Last Wednesday’s sell-off resulted in a breach of 0.6537, the Oct 30 low and bear trigger, highlighting a resumption of the downtrend. This week’s move down reinforces the bearish theme. Sights are on 0.6490, a Fibonacci retracement point. Firm resistance is at 0.6676, the 50-day EMA (pierced). A clear break of it would highlight a possible reversal.

GILTS: Opening calls

Nov-12 07:57

Gilt calls, 94.11/94.20 range.

EQUITIES: EU Cash opening calls

Nov-12 07:56

Estox 50: -0.86%, Dax: -0.88%, CAC: -1.21%, FTSE -0.29%, SMI -0.67%.