USDJPY TECHS: Trend Needle Points South

Mar-07 19:30

* RES 4: 154.80 High Dec 12 '24 and a key resistance * RES 3: 152.39 50-day EMA * RES 2: 151.30 High...

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PIPELINE: Late Corporate & Supra-Sovereign US$ Debt Issuance Update

Feb-05 19:21

At least $28.25B domestic/foreign corporate and supra-sovereign debt to price Wednesday, still waiting on $2.5B Republic of Turkiye 7Y to price

  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 02/05 $5.5B #Republic of Poland $2.75B 5Y +75, $2.75B 10Y +105
  • 02/05 $4.75B #IBM $1B 3Y +45, $1B 5Y +60, $850M 7Y +70, $900M 10Y +80, $1B 30Y +105
  • 02/05 $3.5B #PepsiCo $500M 2Y +22, $750M 3Y +27, $1B 5Y +40, $1.25B 10Y +60
  • 02/05 $3B #UBS $1.5B PerpNC5.5 7%, $1.5B PerpNC10 7.125%
  • 02/05 $2.5B #US Bancorp $1.3B 6NC5 +80, $1.2B 11NC10 +100
  • 02/05 $2.5B #IDA 10Y SOFR+61
  • 02/05 $2B *Citigroup PerpNC5 6.95%
  • 02/05 $1B #Citadel Finance 5Y +170
  • 02/05 $1B #Minera Mexico 7Y +140
  • 02/05 $1B *KFW 4% 2026 TAP SOFR+20
  • 02/05 $1B #BBVA Mexico 10NC5 7.625%
  • 02/05 $500M #Healthpeak LLC 10Y +102
  • 02/05 $2.5B Republic of Turkiye 7Y 7.2%
  • Expected Thursday:
    • 02/06 $Benchmark IFC 4.5Y SOFR+36a

US TSY OPTIONS: Scale Buyer March'25 1Y Put Update

Feb-05 19:16
  • Over +110,000 TYH5 109 puts on the day from 18 to 26 (expire Feb 21), open interest 66,520 coming into the session

US: Senate On Track To Confirm All Of Trump Executive Nominees

Feb-05 19:13

The Senate is on track to confirm two more of Trump’s Cabinet nominees this week - Scott Turner to lead the Department of Housing and Urban Development and Russell Vought to lead the Office of Management and Budget.

  • If the two are confirmed, the Senate will have confirmed 13 Cabinet members within the first three weeks of Trump’s second term – eclipsing the confirmation speed of his first term and that of former President Joe Biden’s term.
  • Politico writes: “The firehose of news from the White House risks obscuring what ranks as one of President Donald Trump’s most stunning feats: This was the week that he finally broke the Senate,” allowing for the confirmation of Cabinet officials, “who once would have seemed unimaginable for their posts.”
  • Axios notes: “All of President Trump's nominees for the most senior positions in government are on track to get confirmed — a rarity for any modern president, and a particular coup for Trump and his cast of "destroyers."
  • Axios has published a useful guide to the status of Trump’s Cabinet nominees here.
  • Bettors at Polymarket now consider every Trump nominee close to a 100% implied probability of confirmation.