EM ASIA CREDIT: TSMC (TAISEM, Aa3/AA-/NR) to keep cutting edge technology local

Mar-07 06:23

TSMC (TAISEM, Aa3/AA-/NR) to keep cutting edge technology local

  • TSMC CEO, C.C. Wei, and the Taiwanese President, Lai Ching-te, spoke yesterday regarding TSMC's plans to invest an additional $100bn in the U.S. The press conference was designed to dispel concerns that TSMC is effectively shifting its focus towards the U.S., reducing a key competitive advantage for Taiwan.
  • The CEO made it clear that the investment was connected to rising demand by U.S. customers, and that next generation technologies will remain in Taiwan. Indeed engineers based in the U.S. will focus primarily on the optimisation of existing technologies.
  • These statements are in line with earlier comments made by the Taiwanese Economic minister Kuo Jyh-huei, in which he indicated Taiwan would review outbound investment to the U.S. as it related to chip making IP.
  • This may set up an interesting dynamic, that as demand rises for AI, autonomous vehicles and robotics technology, U.S. semiconductor technology may lag behind.
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Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (GMT Times)

Feb-05 06:23
DateUKPeriodEvent
05-Feb0930JanS&P Global Services/Composite PMI (Final)
06-Feb0930JanS&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI
06-Feb1200 Bank Of England Interest Rate
06-Feb1230 BOE MPR press conference
06-Feb1400 Decision Maker Panel data
07-Feb1215 BOE's Pill at National MPC Agency briefing
11-Feb0001JanBRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
11-Feb0845 BOE's Mann lecture on Economic Prospects
11-Feb1215 BOE Bailey's speech on changes in financial markets
12-Feb1500 BOE's Greene speech at Institute of Directors
13-Feb0700DecGDP/Trade/ Services/ Production/ Construction
13-Feb0700Q4GDP First Estimate
18-Feb0700Dec/JanLabour Market Survey
19-Feb0001JanBrightmine pay deals for whole economy
19-Feb0700JanConsumer inflation report
19-Feb0700JanProducer Prices

GBPUSD TECHS: Resistance At The 50-Day EMA Remains Intact

Feb-05 06:19
  • RES 4: 1.2667 High Dec 19
  • RES 3: 1.2610 38.2% retracement of the Sep 26 ‘24 - Jan 13 swing   
  • RES 2: 1.2576 High Jan 7 
  • RES 1: 1.2503/23 50-day EMA / High Jan 27 and key resistance
  • PRICE: 1.2479 @ 06:18 GMT Feb 5
  • SUP 1: 1.2249 Low Jan 3   
  • SUP 2: 1.2161 Low Jan 17 / 20
  • SUP 3: 1.2100 Low Jan 10 and the bear trigger 
  • SUP 4: 1.2087 0.764 proj of the Sep 26 - Nov 22 - Dec 6 price swing    

Resistance in GBPUSD remains intact and the recent pullback highlights a potential bearish threat. The move down signals the end of the Jan 13 - 27 correction and note that 1.2503, the 50-day EMA, remains intact. Furthermore, MA studies are in a bear-mode position highlighting a dominant downtrend. A resumption of weakness would open 1.2100, the Jan 13 low and bear trigger. A clear break of the 50-day average would alter the picture.

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (GMT Times)

Feb-05 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
05-Feb745FRIndustrial Production
05-Feb815ESS&P Global Services/Composite PMI (f)
05-Feb845ITS&P Global Services/Composite PMI (f)
05-Feb850FRS&P Global Services/Composite PMI (f)
05-Feb855DES&P Global Services/Composite PMI (f)
05-Feb900ITRetail Sales
05-Feb900EUS&P Global Services/Composite PMI (f)
05-Feb1000EUPPI
05-Feb1400EUECB's Lane at Euro area in 2025 event and Q&A
06-Feb700DEManufacturing Orders
06-Feb830EUS&P Global Final Eurozone Construction PMI
06-Feb1000EURetail Sales
07-Feb700DETrade Balance/ Industrial Production
07-Feb745FRForeign Trade
07-Feb800ESIndustrial Production
07-Feb845EUECB's De Guindos at 'VI Encuentro Economico-Asegurador' conference
07-Feb EUECB to publish report on R*