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EGB SYNDICATION: France new 30-year OAT: Guidance
- EUR Benchmark (MNI expects a E8-10bln size) of the new May-56 OAT
- Guidance: FRTR 3.25% 25/05/55 (MID) + 7bps area
- Issuer: Republic of France
- Ratings: Aa3 (Moody’s Stable)/AA- (S&P Stable)/AA- (Fitch Negative)/AAh (DBRS Stable)
- Format: OAT (in dematerialised book entry form), RegS Cat 1, 144A eligible, CACs
- Maturity: 25 May 2056
- Settlement: 19 February 2025 (T+5)
- Coupon: Fixed, annual ACT/ACT, payable each 25 May. Full first coupon on 25 May 2025
- Bookrunners: BNPP (DM and B&D) / Citi / DB / JPM / SG
- Timing: Books open, today's business
USDCAD TECHS: Support Remains Intact For Now
- RES 4: 1.5000 Psychological round number
- RES 3: 1.4948 High Mar 2003
- RES 2: 1.4814 High Apr 2003
- RES 1: 1.4600/1.4793 Round number resistance / High Feb 3
- PRICE: 1.4291 @ 07:59 GMT Feb 12
- SUP 1: 1.4270 Low Feb 5
- SUP 2: 1.4261 Low Jan 20 and a key support
- SUP 3: 1.4178 High Nov 6 ‘24
- SUP 4: 1.4120 Low Dec 11
USDCAD is trading in a tight range and closer to its recent lows. For now, the latest move down appears corrective and the primary uptrend remains intact. The Feb 3 cycle high reinforces and strengthens bullish conditions. The break higher confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and opens 1.4814 next, the Apr 2003 high. Key support to watch lies at 1.4261, the Jan 20 low. A clear breach of this level would alter the picture and signal a reversal.
AUDUSD TECHS: Testing Resistance At The 50-Day EMA
- RES 4: 0.6429 High Dec 12
- RES 3: 0.6384 High Dec 13
- RES 2: 0.6331 High Jan 24 and a key resistance
- RES 1: 0.6301/09 50-day EMA / Intraday high
- PRICE: 0.6290 @ 07:54 GMT Feb 12
- SUP 1: 0.6171/6088 Low Feb 4 / 3
- SUP 3: 0.6045 1.500 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
- SUP 3: 0.6000 Round number support
- SUP 4: 0.5931 1.764 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
AUDUSD continues to trade at its recent highs. Despite the latest bounce, the trend structure remains bearish. The Feb 3 fresh cycle low confirmed a continuation of the downtrend and maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. A resumption of the bear leg would open 0.6045, a Fibonacci projection. Key resistance is at 0.6301 (pierced), the 50-day EMA, and 0.6331, the Jan 24 high. A clear break of both levels would be bullish.
