EQUITIES: US Cash Opening calls

Apr-25 13:24

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UK DMO UPDATE: CGNCR Forecast for 2025/26 a Little Lower than Expected

Mar-26 13:21
  • CGNCR for 2025-26 is GBP142.7bln (median we had seen was GBP146.0bln) - this is where the marginally lower gilt remit than the median exp comes from.
  • T-bill issuance: GBP5bln increase in stock (that's broadly in line with exp)

GILTS: Recovery With Remit Below Median, Unallocated Bucket Size Jumps

Mar-26 13:20

{GB} GILTS: Gilts rally from lows as the remit for FY25/26 comes in below the median of sell-side estimates (GBP299.2bln vs. median GBP303bln and a range of GBP292-321bln).

  • That allows futures to retest session highs, while curves move away from session steeps.
  • Recovery limited by the uptick in the unallocated bucket size in the gilt remit, which we assume is likely to end up in mediums/longs. This also muddies the maturity profile of the planned issuance a little.

US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump's Mixed Messages On April 2 Tariffs

Mar-26 13:20

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  • The Trump administration is in damage control as the Signal chat scandal enters its third day. The story is likely to overshadow Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s Asia trip, where he is scheduled to meet with Japanese and Philippine leaders to shore up Indo-Pacific relations.
  • Trump advisor Elon Musk and members of his Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) team will sit for an interview with Fox News’ Brett Baier today.
  • Trump told Newsmax he intends to limit the number of exceptions to his reciprocal tariff regime, slated to go into effect on April 2.
  • Copper prices surged to record highs after reports that duties on the metal could be imposed within several weeks, far quicker than anticipated.
  • India is reportedly open to cutting tariffs on more than USD$23 billion of imports to fend off Trump's reciprocal tariffs.
  • House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) and Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) agreed on a loose framework for legislating Trump's agenda. Thune agreed to address the debt limit in the reconciliation package, a move that will rankle with deficit hawks and add a layer of complexity to negotiations.
  • Trump said yesterday it is possible Russian President Vladimir Putin is “dragging his feet” on a ceasefire deal despite a tentative agreement towards a maritime truce in the Black Sea.
  • Poll of the Day: Consumer confidence declined for the fourth month straight in March.

Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF