CROSS ASSET: US Equity Futures Re-open Lower, Yen Firms

Apr-03 22:31

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No respite for US equity futures after Thursday's sharp fall. We have re-opened weaker in the first ...

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GOLD:  Gold Gains as Tariff Headlines Impact Risk Appetite. 

Mar-04 22:28
  • Gold had a strong session overnight in the US finishing at US2,917.89, a gain of +0.87%
  • As tariff headlines dominated markets, safe haven assets like gold performed well.
  • The trade war is now fully underway with over US$100bn of retaliatory tariffs from Canada, China imposing tariffs on agricultural products and Mexico set to announce their reply this weekend.
  • Markets are now fearful of stagflation, pushing bond yields higher and gold higher.
  • What now looks like profit taking last week, the last two days of gains are pairing back the losses from last week.
  • Having broken back through the 20-day EMA of $2,887.68, gold’s next key technical will be the 24 February high of $2,951.73. 

ASIA: Government Bond Issuance Today. 

Mar-04 22:18
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 276D SUVBI Bills
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 95D SUVBI Bills
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 32D SUVBI Bills
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 367D SUVBI Bills
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 185D SUVBI Bills
  • Thailand to Sell THB 7 Bn of 2072 Bonds
  • Thailand to Sell THB 30 Bn  of 2035 Bonds
  • Vietnam To Sell VND 1.0Tln 2040 Bonds; (TD2540037)
  • Vietnam To Sell VND 0.5Tln 2055 Bonds; (TD2555052)
  • Vietnam To Sell VND 12.0Tln 2035 Bonds; (TD2535023)
  • Hong Kong to Sell HK$1.5 Bn 5-year Bonds
  • Hong Kong to Sell HK$0.5 Bn 20-year Bonds
  • China to Sell 40 Bn Yuan 63-Day Bills
  • Bank of Korea to Sell 2 Tn Won 2-Year Bonds
  • South Korea to Sell 5.8 Tn Won 30-Year Bonds
  • South Korea to Sell 2 Tn Won 63-Day Financial Bills
  • India to Sell INR120 Bn 182-Day Bills
  • India to Sell INR140 Bn 91-Day Bills
  • India to Sell INR70 Bn 364-Day Bills 

BONDS: NZGBS: Cheaper As US Yields Rebound Off Lows After Equity Reversal

Mar-04 22:03

In local morning trade, NZGBs are sharply cheaper after US tsys finished with a bear-steepener, yields 4-9bps higher.

  • This came after US tsys reversed off Tuesday morning's yield lows as stocks rebounded off lows. Nasdaq firmly in the green before making a late retreat ahead of the close. Another factor was a retreat in Bunds amid reports officials were proposing an E500B "whatever it takes" defence fund.
  • No substantive US data Tuesday, "I do factor in some effect of tariffs on inflation on prices. I do think we're going to see that later this year," Williams told a Q&A at a Bloomberg Invest event.
  • Focus now turns to President Trump addressing the joint session of Congress tonight at 2100ET. Followed by ADP private employment data tomorrow morning at 0815ET.
  • Late session chatter that President Trump wants to announce a minerals deal with Ukraine after all.
  • Swap rates are 7-9bps higher, with the 2s10s curve steeper.
  • Today, the local calendar will see ANZ Commodity Price data.
  • On Thursday, the NZ Treasury plans to sell NZ$250mn of the 0.25% May-28 bond, NZ$200mn of the 4.25% May-36 bond and NZ$50mn of the 1.75% May-41 bond.