ZAR: USDZAR Reaches Lowest Since December, Breaks Through Key Support

Mar-06 16:31

USDZAR has extended session losses to 1% amid ongoing pressure on the greenback, breaking through a cluster of lows around the 18.30 mark (including key support at 18.3022, the Jan 24 low) to reach its lowest level since mid-December. At typing, the pair is testing the 200-DMA, and a break would set sights on 17.9992, the 76.4% retracement level of the upleg between Dec 12 - Jan 13.

  • Data this morning showed South Africa’s current account shortfall was narrower than expected in Q4 (-0.4% of GDP vs. -0.9% expected), but domestic drivers have largely taken a backseat this week with focus instead on the major moves across global markets, and in particular, the 4% surge in EURUSD. This will likely be the case next week as well given the local data slate lacks any tier 1 releases.

Historical bullets

EGB SYNDICATION: Croatia 12-year CROATI: Priced

Feb-04 16:28
  • Reoffer price 99.745 to yield 3.276%
  • Spread set at MS + 90bps (IPTs were +120bp area, guidance: + 95bp area)
  • Size: E2bln (MNI expected E1.5bln)
  • Final books in excess of E4.4bln
  • HR 88% vs 4.00% Jan-37 Bund
  • Maturity: 11 February 2037 (12-year)
  • Settlement: 11 February 2025 (T+5)
  • ISIN: XS2997390153
  • Joint Bookrunners: Erste Group, IMI-Intesa Sanpaolo/PBZ, ING (B&D), J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley
  • Timing: FTT 16:45CET, Feb 5, 2025

From market source / BBG

FED: US TSY 42D AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $349 MLN FROM $85.000 BLN TOTAL

Feb-04 16:15
  • US TSY 42D AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $349 MLN FROM $85.000 BLN TOTAL

OPTIONS: Larger FX Option Pipeline

Feb-04 16:15
  • EUR/USD: Feb06 $1.0250(E1.5bln), $1.0300(E1.0bln), $1.0315-25(E2.2bln), $1.0350-55(E1.1bln), $1.0390-10(E2.8bln), $1.0430-50(E2.4bln); Feb07 $1.0400(E1.1bln); Feb10 $1.0400(E1.5bln)
  • USD/JPY: Feb06 Y153.90($1.4bln); Feb10 Y154.00($1.9bln)
  • GBP/USD: Feb06 $1.2455(Gbp1.2bln)
  • EUR/GBP: Feb06 Gbp0.8465(E1.1bln)
  • USD/CAD: Feb06 C$1.4200($1.8bln); Feb07 C$1.4090-10($1.1bln), C$1.4300-10($1.2bln), C$1.4355-75($2.5bln), C$1.4600($1.7bln); Feb10 C$1.4425($1.2bln)