EM LATAM CREDIT: Vista Energy Argentina (VISTAA; Caa1 /NR /BB-): 1Q Earnings

Apr-24 12:07

“Vista Energy 1Q Net Income $82.8M Vs. $78.7M Y/y” – BBG

Neutral for prices

• Mexico based Argentina oil and gas E&P company Vista Energy posted disappointing results that missed both top and bottom line driven by lower production.

• Production was much higher YoY with an increase of 47% for 1Q2025 but sequentially production was 5% lower. Revenues dropped by 7% QoQ while EBITDA expanded marginally.

• Gross debt increased due to higher capital expenditure while cash levels were a bit lower so with flattish EBITDA that led to an increase in net leverage of .84x vs .58x last year.

• Last week the company announced a major acquisition, buying out Malaysia’s Petronas’ interest in the third largest oil field in the Vaca Muerta shale region of Argentina which will increase the company’s scale by 50%. Please see the link below for more information:
https://mni.marketnews.com/42EI6bn

• VISTAA 2035s issued at 7.625% December 2024, last quoted 8.15%, having sold off 18bps April MTD. The bonds are quoted 49bps tighter than YPF (YPFDAR; Caa1 /B- /CCC) 2034s after being about 70 bps tighter back in January when YPF issued the new 9NC4Y 8-year average life bonds.

Historical bullets

FOREX: FX Market Analysis: GBP in Focus Ahead of Spring Statement

Mar-25 12:02
  • Sterling has maintained a constructive tone in recent weeks, assisted by the UK’s relatively insulated position to US tariff implementation and weakness for the dollar propelling cable to reach levels above 1.30, the highest print since the US election on Nov 06.
  • Cable remains a touch firmer this week around 1.2950, ahead of the plethora of short-term risk events for the UK. Standing out here are the Spring Statement and UK inflation data which are due on Wednesday.
  • In the attached report, we provide some of the latest analyst views on GBP, as well as a full technical update for a number of GBP crosses.
  • Download full report here: FX Market Analysis - GBP 25-03.pdf

STIR: Large Sep'25 SOFR Midcurve Put Buy

Mar-25 12:01
  • Just over +60,800 0QU5 95.50 puts, 4.5 ref 96.42 on screen in the last few minutes - position build with over 16,000 bought Monday 

EQUITIES: EU Bank put spread trades for more

Mar-25 12:00

SX7E (19th Dec) 155/110ps 1x2, bought for 2.8 in 12k total now.