EM LATAM CREDIT: Vista Energy Argentina (VISTAA; Caa1 /NR /BB-) Acquisition

Apr-16 13:54

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"Vista announces the acquisition of Petronas Argentina" - Vista Energy Positive for prices * Mexic...

Historical bullets

FOREX: High US Front-End Yields and US Equities Boosting Cross/JPY

Mar-17 13:49
  • Unsurprisingly, the post-data action in FX has been centred around USDJPY, with spot’s initial dip lower to 148.31 being swiftly faded as markets latched on to the stronger-than-expected control group reading and US two-year yields spiked as high as 4.06% post release.
  • USDJPY has since traded back above 149.00, with the overnight session highs at 149.10 capping the topside for now. US equities gathering upside momentum has been assisting Cross/JPY in this regard, with strength for the likes of NZDJPY (+1.09%) and AUDJPY (+0.81%) standing out. As noted, initial resistance for USDJPY does not come in until 149.46, the 20-day EMA.
  • There has been some tentative buying of treasuries in recent trade, as markets potentially digest the totality of the report and the weak discretionary spending in the US. Should the reversal gain any traction, and the equity rally lose steam, USDJPY’s bearish technical backdrop may prevail. 146.54 remains key on the downside, the March 11 low and the bear trigger.

EQUITIES: Rolla pace (updated)

Mar-17 13:42

Equity Roll pace, just looking at the Estoxx (VGH5) around 3/4 of the front Month's Volume is spread related now

  • ESA: 35%.
  • NQA: 22% (below pace).
  • DOW: 31%.
  • VGA: 25%.
  • DAX: 22%.
  • FTSE: 27%.

EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (M5) Oversold But Remains Bearish

Mar-17 13:40
  • RES 4: 5976.83 50-day EMA   
  • RES 3: 5864.25 Low Jan 13 and a recent breakout level  
  • RES 2: 5859.54 20-day EMA
  • RES 1: 5726.75 High Mar 12                   
  • PRICE: 5688.25 @ 13:29 GMT Mar 17  
  • SUP 1: 5559.75 Low Mar 13                 
  • SUP 2: 5483.50 2.00 proj of the Dec 6 ‘24 - Jan 13 - Feb 19 swing 
  • SUP 3: 5396.00 2.236 proj of the Dec 6 ‘24 - Jan 13 - Feb 19 swing
  • SUP 4: 5341.87 2.382 proj of the Dec 6 ‘24 - Jan 13 - Feb 19 swing          

The trend condition in S&P E-Minis remains bearish and fresh cycle lows last  week reinforced current conditions. Moving average studies are in a bear-mode set-up highlighting a dominant downtrend. Sights are on 5483.50, a Fibonacci projection. Note that the short-term trend condition is oversold, a corrective bounce would allow this set-up to unwind. Firm resistance to watch is 5976.83, the 50-day EMA.