EU BASIC INDUSTRIES: Wienerberger (WIEAV Baa3/NR/NR): FY24 Results

Feb-26 12:11

Not market moving.

  • Wienerberger reported revenue and adj. EBITDA in line with consensus.
  • FCF was marginally ahead at €280mn with WC optimisation and capex marginally low although it did make a significant acquisition in the year. Reported net leverage unchanged at 2.7x.
  • It sees improving sentiment but end markets only stable for now.  
  • FY25 EBITDA guidance of €800mn, 5% below consensus.

Historical bullets

SONIA: Large Call Fly seller

Jan-27 12:03

0NM5 96.10/96.30/96.50c fly, sold at 2 in 16k.

EGBS: 10-year RAGBs Underperform Semi-core Peers Following Syndication Mandate

Jan-27 11:59

The 10-year RAGB/Bund spread has widened ~2bps since this morning’s dual-tranche syndication mandate, now at 37bps. This leaves 10-year RAGBs underperforming semi-core peers (Netherlands, Ireland, Belgium, Portugal and France) intraday.

  • The timing of Austria’s first syndication had been uncertain due to questions surrounding the budget outlook. MNI had looked for a transaction this week or in the first half of February – with a lean towards the latter.
  • A new 10-year Feb-25 RAGB maturing 20 February 2035 will be launched alongside a tap of the 1.85% May-49 Green RAGB – in line with MNI’s expectations.
  • A reminder that the EU decided not to proceed with an Excessive Debt Procedure on Austria earlier this month, after negotiators attempting to form a right-wing coalition presented a E6.4bln savings plan.
  • On Jan 10, Fitch revised Austria’s outlook to Negative from Stable (rating affirmed at AA+).
  • As of Q3 ‘24, the 4Q rolling sum of the budget balance was -3.7% of GDP (vs -3.3% in Q2). Both Bloomberg analysts and the EC expect the 2024 budget balance to print at -3.6% of GDP, down from -2.6% in 2023.

 

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CROSS ASSET: MONTH END EXTENSION (update)

Jan-27 11:58

Looking at the UK, this looks to be a record Extension for the Month of January at least for Bloomberg (Used to be Barclays).

Bloomberg Bonds projected:

  • US Tsys: +0.07yr (small, average).
  • EU Govies: +0.10yr (decent).
  • UK Govies: +0.23yr (HUGE).

MS Bonds:

  • US Tsys: +0.05yr (small).
  • EU Govies: +0.07yr (small, average).
  • UK Govies: +0.17yr (LARGE).