POLAND: WIRF- Selected as New Interbank Benchmark to Replace Wibor

Dec-10 14:54

The WIRF- index has been selected as the interest rate benchmark to replace Wibor, financial market watchdog KNF says in a statement. “The next step for the Steering Committee of the National Working Group will be to update the Roadmap as part of the current schedule of activities aimed at replacing the WIBOR benchmark with the ultimate WIRF– benchmark, whose final name is to be chosen in the course of further work”

  • Note that the regulatory body had chosen Wiron to replace Wibor initially, but these plans were abandoned in October.
  • The committee of the national working group for reforming the benchmark said then that Wiron proved too volatile; the rate is based on average costs of overnight corporate deposit rates.
  • Wibor is planned to be terminated from the end of 2027. It has been criticised for being based on a limited number of transactions and reflecting expectations of future interest rate levels rather than current funding conditions.

Historical bullets

JGB TECHS: (Z4) Bounce Reverses

Nov-08 23:45
  • RES 3: 149.55 - High Mar 22 (cont)
  • RES 2: 147.74 - High Jan 15 and bull trigger (cont)  
  • RES 1: 146.53 - High Aug 6 
  • PRICE: 143.70 @ 16:14 GMT Nov 08
  • SUP 1: 143.39 - Low Nov 07
  • SUP 2: 142.23 - Low Jul 02
  • SUP 3: 140.21 - 1.236 proj of Mar 22 - Nov 1 ‘23 - Jan 15 price swing    

Prices fell further Thursday, extending the recent pullback. The return lower at the start of this week has culminated in a break of 143.57, marking both the Jul 17 high on the continuation contract as well as the Oct 22 low. For now, the 50-dma tops out at 144.32, and marks first resistance. A continuation higher would open 146.53, the Aug 6 high (cont) and a bull trigger. 

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Late 2Y/10Y Ultra-Bond Flattener

Nov-08 22:48
  • Flattener crossed late Friday at 1645:30ET, DV01 $322,000
  • -8,900 TUZ4 102-23.88, sell through 102-24.38 post time bid vs.
  • +3,700 UXYZ4 113-16, post time offer 

USDCAD TECHS: Trend Needle Points North

Nov-08 21:00
  • RES 4: 1.4179 2.0% 10-dma envelope  
  • RES 3: 1.4000 Round number resistance
  • RES 2: 1.3977 High Oct 13 and a key M/T resistance  
  • RES 1: 1.3959 High Nov 1 / 6
  • PRICE: 1.3910 @ 16:29 GMT Nov 8
  • SUP 1: 1.3836/22 20-day EMA and a key S/T support / Low Nov 6 
  • SUP 2: 1.3744 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 3: 1.3611 Low Oct 8 
  • SUP 4: 1.3567 Low Oct 7

USDCAD reversed course Wednesday and recovered from Tuesday's low. The trend outlook is unchanged, it remains bullish. Attention is the key resistance at 1.3946, the Aug 5 high. This hurdle has been pierced, a clear break would strengthen the uptrend and open 1.3977, the Oct 13 high and a key medium-term resistance point. Initial firm support to watch lies at 1.3836, the 20-day EMA.