ICE EUA FUTURES TECHS: (Z5) Double Top Reversal Patten

Feb-14 13:44

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* RES 4: 88.55 - 1.382 proj of the Dec 17 - Jan 3 - Jan 9 price swing * RES 3: 86.75 - 1.236 proj of...

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US DATA: CPI Core & Supercore Latest Trends

Jan-15 13:41

Core CPI 3-mth run rate lowest since Sept but 6-mth highest since June.

Core CPI (SA)

  • % M/M: 0.225 in Dec '24 after 0.308 in Nov'24
  • % 3mth ar: 3.3 in Dec '24 after 3.7 in Nov'24
  • % 6mth ar: 3.2 in Dec '24 after 2.9 in Nov'24

 

CPI Core Services Non-Housing (SA)

  • % M/M: 0.205 in Dec '24 after 0.342 in Nov'24
  • % 3mth ar: 3.5 in Dec '24 after 4.3 in Nov'24
  • % 6mth ar: 3.7 in Dec '24 after 3.1 in Nov'24

Source: Bloomberg, MNI

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US DATA: Supercore CPI At Low End Of Expectations

Jan-15 13:37
  • Core services excl OER & primary rents ('supercore'): 0.205% M/M after 0.342%. Latest 3mth av of 0.287%
  • Limited analyst estimates for ex OER & rents had averaged 0.27% M/M, ranging from 0.20 to 0.36

 

  • Core services excl all shelter: 0.282% M/M after 0.233%. Latest 3mth av of 0.284%
  • This comes with lodging away from home slipping -0.95%.
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US DATA: Headline Slightly Higher Than Expected On Energy

Jan-15 13:37

The slight miss on core (0.23% vs 0.24% expected) came as supercore inflation was below expected (0.21% vs 0.25% consensus, 0.34% pri). 

Headline was a slight beat at 0.39% (0.38% expected) with food a little softer than expected and energy slightly above (see table):

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