PLN: Zloty Hits New Multi-Year High, Then Pulls Back

Feb-13 09:33

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EUR/PLN has ticked away from a multi-year low printed this morning at 4.1573 on the back of hopes fo...

Historical bullets

EQUITIES: Large put spread buyer

Jan-14 09:25

 SX5E (19th Sep) 4750/4250ps, bought for 95.4 in 18k.

EGBS: Positive French Political Headlines Only Have Marginal RV Impact On OATs

Jan-14 09:24

The 10-Year SPGB/OAT/PGB butterfly is only ~4bp off cycle closing lows, last -52.5bp.

  • That is despite this morning’s OAT-positive headlines surrounding the possibility of an agreement between the Socialist Party and ruling government (see our political risk team’s bullets for greater colour on that matter).
  • Such an agreement would likely prove sufficient for the Bayrou government to avoid censure in a 16 January vote.
  • An agreement would also lessen the immediate political risks the country faces, but France would still face heightened fiscal and political risks over the medium term.
  • That explains the limited bounce in this structure, which has only rallied by ~1bp on the day.

Fig. 1: 10-Year Spain/France/Portugal Butterfly

SPFRPOFly140125

Source: MNI - Market NEws/Bloomberg

MNI: ITALY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION NOV 0.3% M/M, -1.5% Y/Y WDA

Jan-14 09:10
  • MNI: ITALY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION NOV 0.3% M/M, -1.5% Y/Y WDA