PLN: Zloty Stays Near Cyclical Highs

Feb-27 10:19

EUR/PLN changes hands at 4.1357, down 30 pips on the day, with the pair sitting close to its recent cyclical lows printed at 4.1312. Bears continue to look for losses towards the 4.10 round figure, while bulls eye resistance from the 50-EMA at 4.2094. Poland's REER hit its best levels since 2008 earlier this week, raising questions about the impact on Polish exporters.

  • Geopolitics remain an important background factor, with market participants eager to learn how the ongoing US-Ukraine and US-Russia talks unfold. Ukrainian President Zelensky will visit the US this Friday to seal the minerals deal that may be a stepping stone for further talks.
  • The economy expanded by 3.2% Y/Y in 4Q24, according to final data from the statistics bureau. The headline figure and the structure of growth were broadly as expected, with consumption growing by 3.5% Y/Y.
  • POLGB yields have ticked higher across the curve, with 5s underperforming at typing.
  • The WIG Index has added 0.3%, with the WIG20 Index up by 0.2%.

Historical bullets

ITALY AUCTION RESULTS: BTP Short Term and BTPei auction

Jan-28 10:16
 2.55% Feb-27 BTP Short Term1.50% May-29 BTPei1.80% May-36 BTPei
ISINIT0005633794IT0005543803IT0005588881
AmountE3blnE1.25blnE1.25bln
Previous E1blnE1.5bln
Avg yield2.61%1.17%1.90%
Previous 1.160%1.810%
Bid-to-cover1.63x1.72x1.72x
Previous 1.83x1.55x
Avg Price99.91101.4099.06
Pre-auction mid 101.38298.966
Prev avg price 101.47100.03
Prev mid-price 101.44099.996
Previous date 26-Nov-2425-Oct-24

STIR: SOFR Futures Blocks Seen In Recent Trade

Jan-28 10:13

Recent SOFR block flow lodged a few minutes apart:

  • SFRU7 1,540 lots blocked at 95.995, looks like a buyer.
  • SFRH8 1,159 lots blocked at 95.945, looks like a seller.
  • SFRM8 1,000 lots blocked at 95.925, looks like a seller.

AUSTRIA T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 3/6-Month ATBs

Jan-28 10:13
Type3-month ATB6-month ATB
MaturityApr 24, 2025Jul 24, 2025
AllottedE851mlnE822mln
PreviousE1.916blnE1.198bln
AmountE1blnE1bln
TargetE1blnE1bln
PreviousE2blnE1.25bln
Avg yield2.525%2.410%
Previous2.790%2.800%
Bid-to-cover2.25x2.76x
Previous2.11x1.69x
Bid-to-offer1.91x2.27x
Previous2.02x1.62x
Previous dateNov 26, 2024Oct 29, 2024