Executive summary:

• The primary theme of the week is the same as last week: Polling and data-driven models project a too-close-to-call race, but there is some big money betting on a Trump win. 
• YouGov's second multilevel regression with poststratification model gives Harris a slight edge over Trump.
• Pollsters believe that they have identified the problems that caused polling errors in 2016 and 2020, but there is a lingering concern that Trump's name on the ballot may make polling particularly difficult.  
• The Washington Post is the latest outlet to examine the possibility that Trump's Electoral College advantage may be disappearing.
• The data-driven elections models have moved closer to a dead heat.
• The surge towards Trump on prediction markets continued this week. Polymarket, in particular, has seen a major influx of cash pushing Trump’s implied probability of winning above 60%. 

Please find the full article attached below: US Elections Weekly