Preliminary exit poll data from Edison Research offers a mixed bag for Harris and Trump. Notably, Trump does not have a clear edge on the economy. Voters have identified democracy as a key reason for their vote -  likely a win for Harris although both Republicans and Democrats have reported concerns over Democracy. The big win for Trump is a strong contingent of voters reporting a deterioration of their personal finances since 2020.  

• The data should be approached with caution and be caveated with the following: The exit poll data will change over time as more surveys are completed. It also has little in the way of sampling control or weighting, leading to potentially misleading samples. For example in 2020, exit poll data in Wisconsin showed Trump +1 with men. In the final data, Trump carried men in the state by 10 points.  
• Good for Trump: 45% of voters say their personal finances are worse than 4 yrs ago vs 20% in 2020 exit poll…  31% of voters says economy matters most for their vote; 11% said immigration...
• Good for Harris: 35% democracy of voters say economy mattered most for their vote… 73% of voters say democracy threatened, 25% say it's secure.
• Soft for Trump: 51% of voters say they trust Trump more on economy, 47% say Harris.
• Soft for Harris: 51% of voters say they trust Harris more on abortion, 44% say Trump.
• Uncertain: Harris (48%) has a slight edge over Trump (44%) on favourability. Trump’s number is a 2% drop from his 2020 number. Harris’ number is significantly below Biden’s 2020 exit poll favourability of 52%.