Bank of Canada cut interest rates for a seventh time in a row, by 25 bps to 2.75% in line with market expectations, amid concerns over U.S. trade war.
"Looking ahead, the trade conflict with the United States can be expected to weigh on economic activity, while also increasing prices and inflation. Governing Council will proceed carefully with any further changes to our policy rate given the need to assess both the upward pressures on inflation from higher costs and the downward pressures from weaker demand, " Governor Macklem said.
"Governing Council will be carefully assessing the timing and strength of both the downward pressures on inflation from a weaker economy and the upward pressures on inflation from higher costs."
BOC says inflation remains near its 2% target while core inflation is above 2% due to persistent shelter inflation.
BOC says expectations for short-term inflation have increased amid U.S. tariff concerns.
"We’re now facing a new crisis. Depending on the extent and duration of new US tariffs, the economic impact could be severe. The uncertainty alone is already causing harm," Macklem says.
Special BOC survey on businesses and households published Wednesday suggests tariff threats and uncertainty from Canada-US trade relationship are already impacting businesses and consumer confidence.
BOC says shift in business and consumer intentions could translate to a slowdown in Q1.
BOC says expectations for medium and long-term CPI must be closely monitored to ensure any rise in inflation is temporary.
"Monetary policy cannot offset the impacts of a trade war. What it can and must do is ensure that higher prices do not lead to ongoing inflation."